Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 56.048340 64.010918 72.189593 81.183375 90.762340 100.628663 111.528405
2026-01-11 43.445468 54.709772 66.857330 80.785514 96.178762 112.550541 131.163162
2026-01-18 35.775471 48.714232 63.201317 80.321178 99.726644 120.802381 145.197322
2026-01-25 30.453778 44.583838 60.947082 80.788337 103.748788 129.101712 158.855655
2026-02-01 25.627093 40.414861 58.124101 80.128648 106.079318 135.158895 169.698435
2026-02-08 21.925331 37.193340 56.070477 80.052845 108.810667 141.444689 180.598570
2026-02-15 18.428297 33.836701 53.537561 79.131785 110.324380 146.148863 189.537606
2026-02-22 16.281133 32.045925 52.786646 80.227884 114.105050 153.377770 201.287417
2026-03-01 14.549865 30.640930 52.390579 81.649248 118.186507 160.890456 213.311844
2026-03-08 12.184669 28.042334 50.225928 80.681396 119.236511 164.732334 220.985328
2026-03-15 9.908341 25.286842 47.644065 79.012423 119.291178 167.287025 227.063282
2026-03-22 9.375520 25.259175 48.806247 82.197426 125.366249 177.043445 241.623251
2026-03-29 8.419274 24.436246 48.810104 83.855763 129.559997 184.592759 253.659978
2026-04-05 6.999657 22.617134 47.262323 83.360604 130.977664 188.747763 261.647269
2026-04-12 5.773548 20.949210 45.813062 82.904496 132.373138 192.821450 269.493347
2026-04-19 4.901308 19.816705 45.085903 83.376885 134.917853 198.272291 278.968610
2026-04-26 3.918782 18.260589 43.593772 82.706148 135.922187 201.783440 286.076458
2026-05-03 3.174260 17.056828 42.568635 82.628913 137.656002 206.165516 294.212983
2026-05-10 2.407734 15.583376 40.995238 81.691612 138.200599 209.026698 300.472878
2026-05-17 2.026248 15.002259 40.862039 82.807047 141.451279 215.262408 310.837291
2026-05-24 1.730146 14.581163 40.968530 84.253313 145.133108 222.035367 321.858784
2026-05-31 1.220274 13.291385 39.470901 83.268526 145.504648 224.604580 327.709317
2026-06-07 0.757634 11.837640 37.552923 81.570135 144.849424 225.829046 331.872015